Feb 142012
 

A new poll from Pew adds to the list of pollsters reporting good news for President Obama. It shows Obama leading Mitt Romney by eight points, 52-44, and Rick Santorum by 10 points. …

– Obama has a 21-point lead over both Romney and Santorum among women. The margin is 59-38 percent. Among men, Obama actually trails by five against Romney and three against Santorum. That’s a 26-point swing between men and women, and I don’t recall ever seeing a gender gap that large.

Jay Bookman, Atlanta Journal Constitution

EarlG, Democratic Underground

 Posted by at 12:08 am
Feb 092012
 

The Grand Old Party has gone evermore around the bend, thanks to Republican politicians’ willingness to play to the basest, most retrograde instincts of the ignorant among Republican voters; a shockingly large percentage. A You.gov poll is showing that 72% of Republicans either believe it is false (37%) that President Obama was born in this country, or are unsure (35%).

Michael F. Cotter wrote in the Harvard Crimson yesterday:

The Birther movement, entirely bereft of a factual basis, was the offspring of the latent racial animus that still exists in this country. By last spring, it became widespread enough that denying the President’s natural-born citizenship became de rigueur for all aspiring conservative presidential candidates. I admire the optimism of those who genuinely believe that the tradition of the “Southern Strategy” has been entirely erased in the last forty years, but I do not share it. It is not a mere coincidence that our first black president is also the first one whose American nationality has been called into question. It is not a coincidence that our first black president is the only one whose religious identity is the subject of persistent doubt.

In the 2008 campaign, John McCain had the maturity to publicly dismiss claims that Obama was a secret Muslim. Unfortunately, I expect no such thing from Romney. He has shown himself incapable of connecting meaningfully with voters. His road to the Republican nomination has been one of sad resignation for the Republican base rather than excitement. Furthermore, his entire narrative will fall apart if unemployment continues to fall. His best chance at capturing the Oval Office rests in rousing deep, unfounded fears about the President’s identity. I do not think that Mitt Romney is racist, nor do I think he doubts the President’s place of birth. Yet Romney apparently wants the presidency badly enough to sing any tune, play to any fear, and stand on stage with any would-be demagogue for a few votes. I, for one, maintain no illusions about the pitch of his dog whistle.

The full sample of Americans polled is better, though still annoying: 59% believe it is true; 17% believe it is false; and 24% not sure.

Adam Berinsky at YouGov writes:

These results might be troubling, but they are not surprising. They are consistent with my previous work on the lasting power of rumors in the face of new information. As I, and others, have shown, rumors and innuendo are powerful forces in American politics – and they are hard to undo.

I don’t know what more the man can do. For those of you still unsure, do your country a favor and please read here.

 Posted by at 12:50 am
Feb 072012
 

This was supposed to be Mitt Romney’s week. Back-to-back wins in Florida and Nevada have helped to cement him as the all-but-certain Republican nominee.

Instead, the latest ABC News-Washington Post poll points to President Obama as the biggest winner of the GOP primary contest.

President Obama has snuck ahead of Romney among registered voters, 51 percent to 45 percent. What’s more, 50 percent of voters in the new poll approve of Obama’s job performance and the same percentage say he deserves re-election.

ABC News

 Posted by at 12:36 am
Jan 242012
 

Obama 53/43
Romney 31/49
Gingrich 29/51

Unfavorable views of Mitt Romney have soared, doubts about Newt Gingrich remain widespread and Barack Obama has advanced to his highest personal popularity in more than a year — all in advance of the State of the Union address in which Obama makes his case for a second term.

Fifty-three percent of Americans in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll express a favorable opinion of Obama overall, up by 5 points from last month to the most since April 2010. It can matter: Favorability is the most basic measure of a public figure’s popularity.

Obama may be benefitting from a less-grim economic outlook, but also by comparison to the Republicans, deep in their intramural food fight. As he’s gained, Romney has stumbled badly, with unfavorable views of the recent Republican front-runner up by 15 points in just two weeks.

Forty-nine percent of Americans now see Romney unfavorably, a new high in ABC/Post polling this cycle. That far outstrips his favorable rating, 31 percent, down 8 points to a new low. The shift, moreover, has been led by political independents, swing voters in national politics.

While that reflects a remarkable reversal of fortune for Romney, Gingrich, too, has lost ground, dropping 6 points in favorability since December — and with more than half of Americans, 51 percent, now seeing him unfavorably, up from the low 40s last fall. While it would be speculation to link the slip in favorability to recent criticisms by his ex-wife, his decline occurred among married adults. …

The sharpest shifts have been among independents. Unfavorable opinions of Romney have soared by 17 points in this group since Jan. 8, to 51 percent; favorable opinions have dropped by 18 points among independents in the same period, to just 23 percent. Gingrich, for his part, has lost 11 points among independents since December, to 22 percent favorability. Obama, by contrast, gets a 51 percent favorable rating from independents.


ABC News

 Posted by at 11:02 am
Oct 262011
 

Go over to Talking Points Memo and see the rest of the charts and report from the Congressional Budget Office.

CBO finds that, between 1979 and 2007, income grew by:

* 275 percent for the top 1 percent of households,
* 65 percent for the next 19 percent,
* Just under 40 percent for the next 60 percent, and
* 18 percent for the bottom 20 percent.

Makes you sick, huh?

From The New York Times:

With nearly all Americans remaining fearful that the economy is stagnating or deteriorating even further, two-thirds of the public said wealth should be distributed more evenly in the country. Seven in 10 Americans think the policies of Congressional Republicans favor the rich. Two-thirds object to tax cuts for corporations and a similar number prefer increasing income taxes on millionaires.

On Tuesday, the Congressional Budget Office released a new study concluding that income distribution had become much more uneven in the last three decades, a report that could figure prominently in the battle over how to revive the economy and rein in the federal debt.

The poll findings underscore a dissatisfaction and restlessness heading into the election season that has been highlighted through competing voices from the Occupy Wall Street and Tea Party movements, a broad anti-Washington sentiment and the cross-currents inside both parties about the best way forward.

Not only do 89 percent of Americans say they distrust government to do the right thing, 74 percent say the country is on the wrong track and 84 percent disapprove of Congress — warnings for Democrats and Republicans alike.

 Posted by at 12:08 am
Oct 182011
 

“Even the week that Bin Laden was killed.” Read that again. “Even the week that Bin Laden was killed.”



Pew: Media not in love with Obama

Sarah Palin put an end to her possible presidential candidacy this month with a familiar parting critique: President Barack Obama has an unfair advantage as a candidate because he’s got “about 90 percent of the media still there in his back pocket.”

The charge echoed longstanding complaints from conservatives that the mainstream media treated the tea party with contempt, preferring to zero in on examples of looniness or astroturfing rather than the broad energy and goals of the movement.

But a study by the Pew Research Center’s Project for Excellence in Journalism finds that, in the past five months, the reverse has actually been true: Obama has received the most unremittingly negative press of any of the presidential candidates by a wide margin, with negative assessments outweighing positive ones by four to one.

Pew found that just 9 percent of the president’s coverage was positive, while 34 percent was negative — a stark contrast to the 32 percent positive coverage and 20 percent negative that it found Texas Gov. Rick Perry, the most covered Republican, received.

“His coverage has been substantially more negative in every one of the last 23 weeks of the last five months — even the week that Bin Laden was killed,” Tom Rosenstiel, director of the Project for Excellence in Journalism, said of the president’s treatment in the media compared with that of the GOP field.

Politico

Oct 182011
 

From Reuters:

New Yorkers support anti-Wall Street protests: poll

(Reuters) – Anti-Wall Street protests have won broad support among New York City voters, who would overwhelmingly favor tougher regulations on the financial industry, new poll results showed on Monday.

Sixty-seven percent of those who responded to a Quinnipiac University survey said they agreed with the Occupy Wall Street protesters, who are upset that banks were allowed to earn huge profits after being bailed out during the recession, while average Americans remained under financial strain.

An even wider margin, 87 percent, agreed with the protesters’ right to camp out in Lower Manhattan, as long as they obeyed the law. The movement began staging rallies more than a month ago.

Support for the protests was split down party lines, with 81 percent of the Democrats saying they backed them, while only 35 percent of Republicans said so. …

The largest block of voters, 37 percent, blamed former President George W. Bush’s administration for the nation’s economic problems, while 21 percent blamed banks. Seventy-three percent said they would support tougher government regulation.




Business Insider

 Posted by at 12:06 am